Brexit Party On Pace to Overtake Tories by Election Day

-edited

Nigel Farage's Brexit Party is on the verge of overtaking the Tories. From zero members to 100,000 in just Five weeks!

Nigel Farage has some exciting news.

Party Membership

On the surface it would appear Labour ought to be ruling by a landslide. Since it isn't, its numbers are more than a bit suspect. Note that only 20% of the Labour total is registered.

Numbers from UK Political Party Affiliation.

Ability to Disrupt

The New Yorker writes Nigel Farage Makes Trumpian Trouble with His New Brexit Party

The thirty-odd per cent that the Brexit Party is polling is far from a majority, but the basic problem of Brexit politics is the lack of a coherent majority anywhere. Cross-party talks on a Brexit compromise have stalled. A second referendum doesn’t seem to be on offer. Jeremy Corbyn, the Labour leader, has proved adept at hiding his own position, in order to paper over divisions in his party, but not at actually leading anyone anywhere, except perhaps to a new general election.

It would be a mistake to dismiss the European elections as a mere sideshow in the fight among Britain’s parties, either because the U.K. will withdraw its M.E.P.s should Brexit go through, or because the Parliament is viewed, by many, as mostly just the showy part of a make-work E.U. bureaucracy. The U.K. is not out of the Union yet, and it will be sending seventy-one M.E.P.s to the Parliament, nearly a tenth of the total.

In Denial

“The BBC is in denial, the Tory and Labour parties are in denial, I think you’re all in for a bigger surprise Thursday week than you can even imagine,” said Farage.

The biggest denier of all is Theresa May.

Transformation

The Guardian asks Has the Rise of the Brexit Party Blown Away UKIP?

Why is that a question?

UKIP is gone Support is at 3% and headed to zero. The Brexit Party picked up all of it.

New Slogan

Change Politics For Good

Farage's new slogan is "Change Politics For Good".

On the heels of serious missteps by Labour Leader Jeremy Corby and Tory Prime Minister Theresa May, now in the same political bed, that is an excellent slogan.

Four Former UKIP AM's Join Brexit Party

The BBC reports Four former UKIP AMs have joined Nigel Farage's Brexit Party, announcing plans to form an assembly group.

AMs are MPs from the Wales National Assembly.

"I'm very pleased as leader of the Brexit Party to welcome four members of the Welsh Assembly who will now re-designate as of this afternoon as Brexit Party members," Farage stated.

Mark Reckless, Mandy Jones, Caroline Jones and David Rowlands are the four joining the Brexit Party.

Mr Reckless, who left the Tory group on Tuesday ahead of the announcement, said: "Brexit is being blocked and the Brexit Party group in the Welsh assembly from today will be supporting Nigel Farage, supporting the Brexit Party in everything that they are doing to protect our democracy and to ensure that Brexit is delivered."

Fastest Growing Party

The Independent writes the Brexit Party is ‘Fastest Growing Political Force in the Land’.

Mr Farage revealed the momentum behind his party – which tops polls for the MEP elections – as he warned a cross-party Brexit deal between Theresa May and Jeremy Corbyn would fuel it further.

Branding any softer Brexit agreement as a “coalition of politicians against the people”, he said: “I think millions of people would give up on both Labour and the Conservatives.”

He added: “This would be the final betrayal. Frankly, if May signs up to this, I can’t see the point of the Conservative Party even existing. What is it for?

“Work it out. We have raised getting on for £2m through individual people joining through our website. I can’t think that any other party in the UK has raised money like that.”

Brexit vs labour

The numbers suggest Farage is correct. Support for the Tory party declined far more than Labour.

But the real story is the Brexiteers are united. Remainers are split between Labour, the Liberal Democrats, the Greens, and the newly formed Co-operative Party.

The latter is headed towards oblivion.

Hooray for Farage

Hooray for Farage and the Brexit party!

A customs union makes zero sense. It would be the worst possible action.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock

Comments (10)
No. 1-5
CCR
CCR

European Dominoes

Carl_R
Carl_R

These numbers are confusing to me, so perhaps someone can give me some background. The population of England seems to be about 55m people. The Brexit party has 100k voters registered to it. On it's face it appears that .2% of the British population is registered as Brexit, an insignificant number. For that matter, the 500k people registered at Labour would appear to be less than 1% of the population.

Mish
Mish

Editor

Tories only have 124K - so good question People have to pay to register, so they don't?

themonosynaptic
themonosynaptic

Nigel Farage is an amusing twit. He'll level off very quickly, then disappear at best, or split the right as he did with UKIP at best, even with any Russian support.

MatthewB
MatthewB

We will see if Farage will grasp the nettle of political reform. Proportional Representation. A slimline English parliament to deal with Health, Education, Adult social care in England (Preferably based in the Midlands or Northern England) Abolition of Westminster Parliament but a new parliament of the regions to deal with cross border English, Scottish and Welsh interests and also take over the constituency aspects of the commons. If this only needed to meet up a couple of weekends a month this could move around the country.