Budget Agreement Fiasco: Will the Real Republicans Please Stand Up?

A Senate budget agreement raises spending $300 billion over 2011 limits. Military spending jumps $80 billion.

Senate leaders reached a Two-Year Budget Deal with huge goodies going to more military waste.

Congressional leaders said Wednesday they have reached an agreement on a two-year budget deal, charting a path out of the long-running turmoil over spending and immigration that culminated in a government shutdown last month.

The agreement raises federal spending by almost $300 billion over two years above limits imposed by a 2011 budget law. If approved by the GOP-controlled Congress, the deal would mark the triumph of defense hawks, who have pushed for higher military spending, over the dwindling number of conservatives focused on reducing the federal budget deficit.

The budget deal would raise military spending by $80 billion through the rest of fiscal year, which runs through September, and by $85 billion in fiscal year 2019, according to a congressional aide familiar with the agreement.

Congressional leaders also agreed to raise nondefense spending by $63 billion in this fiscal year and $68 billion the following year, according to the aide, addressing demands from Democrats, who had pushed for boosting domestic spending.

“After months of legislative logjams, this budget deal is a genuine breakthrough,” Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D., N..Y.) said on the Senate floor.

Will the Real Republicans Please Stand Up?

The real republicans cannot stand up for one simple reason: There aren't any and haven't been any for decades.

Perhaps "any" is too strong a word, perhaps not. It's easy for a few legislators to pretend to object when their votes are not the deciding ones.

Compromise in Washington has always been you give me goodies and I'll give you goodies, with the deficit forever soaring out of control.

Currency Crisis Coming Up

A currency crisis is baked in the cake.


That's the tough question. The party can continue as long as other central banks in the world play along. There is no evidence of firm policy in Japan, China, the UK, or the EU.

Sure, QE is starting to roll back, until the next recession when QE and deficits expand universally. With so many countries playing along, a crisis can start anywhere.

Don't expect the dollar to blow up over deficits, because it won't until, like the VIX, it does. I still expect a currency crisis will hit elsewhere first.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock

No. 1-25

The December tax cuts have bankrupted an indebted country. Now looking at a tripling of budget deficit to 2009 proportions after interest rate hikes fells the economy. Wonder who Trump is going to blame.


One thing seems likely: a rapidly growing need for US Government financing is going to put upward pressure on interest rates as they try to place all that new debt. To the extent the Fed steps up as a buyer to control upward pressure on rates, they are going to put more upward pressure on inflation. This is beginning to remind me of the 1970s.

An excerpt from Investopedia “The Great Inflation of the 1970s:”
In public and private Nixon turned the pressure on Burns (Fed Chair). William Greider, in his book "Secrets of the Temple: How the Federal Reserve Runs The Country" reports Nixon as saying: "We'll take inflation if necessary, but we can't take unemployment." The nation eventually had an abundance of both. Burns, and the Fed's Open Market Committee which decided on money creation policies, soon provided cheap money.

I can easily imagine President Trump appealing to Powell in the same way that Nixon appealed to Burns.


"Senate leaders reached a Two-Year Budget Deal with huge goodies going to more military waste." The Fourth Turning. Fourth quadrant of an 80 year cycle. Fourth Turning war. 80 years ago was WW2. 80 years before that was the American Civil War and 80 years before that was the American Revolutionary War. Global debt is 230+ Trillion dollars. There is a lot of sabre rattling going on within an unsettling global economy. The last 3 Fourth Turning wars were major events in American history, with the U.S. coming into the current 4th T as the global empire. Having peaked, that empire is now being challenged.


"There is no evidence of firm policy in Japan, China, the UK, or the EU." Control+Alt+Print seems to be the policy. Japan just said it would buy up as much debt as needed.


@2banana i've always agreed that entitlement spending is too big a percentage of the pie and infrastructure too small a piece of the pie, but an $18bn request or more for a wall and then money for a parade sends a bad message