China Quarantines a City of 11 Million Over Deadly New Virus

Mish

Wuhan will halt all outbound flights and trains in an effort to stem the spread of a new pneumonia-like virus.

The Wall Street Journal reports China Orders City at Center of Virus Outbreak to Shut Public Transport.

Wuhan, the city in central China where a new coronavirus originated, will halt all outbound flights and trains and shut down its public transportation system from Thursday morning, the Chinese government said, a dramatic escalation in China’s battle to contain a pneumonia outbreak that has now killed 17 people.

The lockdown of the city of 11 million will begin at 10 a.m. local time for an indefinite period, China Central Television reported Thursday, the prevention and control center in Wuhan to combat the coronavirus said in a statement. Services of subways, city buses, long-distance coaches and ferries will also be suspended, it said.

Several provinces and territories in China, including Fujian, Anhui, Liaoning and Guizhou, announced their first confirmed infection cases on Wednesday, according to CCTV and local Chinese authorities. The province of Hubei, of which Wuhan is the capital and largest city, late Wednesday reported a total 444 confirmed cases, up from 270 announced the previous day.

The World Health Organization on Wednesday postponed for a day a decision on whether to declare that the outbreak of the new virus constitutes a public-health emergency of international concern.

This week, Zhong Nanshan, one of the country’s best-known epidemiologists, confirmed suspicions that the novel coronavirus was spreading between humans, which would allow the disease to be transmitted among people who don’t interact with any animals. The virus is believed to have spread to humans from animals at the Wuhan market.

Little is known about the new virus, making it more challenging for authorities to figure out the appropriate action to take, experts say. Chinese authorities have yet to determine which animal originally harbored the virus and passed it on to humans, although they have said it was likely a wild animal. They also have yet to announce what they believe is the incubation period for the disease, or the time it takes for infected patients to start showing symptoms.

Little Understood Disease

Authorities do not know the incubation period which makes it difficult to know how to respond. But we do know the virus spreads easily. One patient in Wuhan infected more than a dozen medical staff.

There is one confirmed case in the US. That person arrived by plane from China.

Potentially everyone on the plane could now be a carrier and we may not know for a week or more.

Fortunately, similar threats in recent memory were more hype than reality. Recall bird flu, swine flu, mad cow disease, and ebola,

Ebola is introduced into the human population through close contact with the blood, secretions, organs or other bodily fluids of infected animals such as fruit bats, chimpanzees, gorillas, monkeys, forest antelope or porcupines found ill or dead or in the rainforest.

It is too early and too little is known about this new virus to know what to make of the threat. But locking down an entire city of 11 million, shows the concern.

Imagine the consequences if all flight in China was grounded.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock

Comments (26)
No. 1-18
caradoc-again
caradoc-again

There will, one day, be some new virus that will eliminate large swathes of population. It will adapt rapidly and we will not be able to develop an anti-virus fast enough.

It will happen. Only a matter of time.

Current economic and environmental issues will be insignificant in comparison to the havoc it will bring.

A modern Black Death.

It might already be lurking in some lab, engineered as a weapon just waiting for accidental release or be an unintended mutation in some DNA experiment.

Curious-Cat
Curious-Cat

Great. Now I have impeachment AND this to worry about. Pass the Xanax.

Capn_Renault
Capn_Renault

Like the Fukashima nuclear reactor... everything is under control. Nothing to see here, just move along

/sarc

FloydVanPeter
FloydVanPeter

Sechel
Sechel

China needs to stop close living of birds, pigs and humans in such close vicinities. There's a reason why the viruses start in rural provinces and not in places like Shanghai. Already most new strains of flu originate in China for this very reason

thimk
thimk

maybe Greta T is right but for the wrong reasons

Runner Dan
Runner Dan

"China Quarantines a City of 11 Million Over Deadly New Virus"

Probably the only selling point of a totalitarian regime: The top-down control of the population should be pretty effective at limiting the spread of a contagious disease! Of course, one hopes they don't get too bonkers with eradication measures should the quarantine not be as effective as they desire.

Greggg
Greggg

thimk
thimk

@Greggg Yikes , chinese new year millions will be traveling , maybe some abroad . China exporting viruses ?

Bam_Man
Bam_Man

Does anyone here know how to say "Black Swan" in Mandarin? Or perhaps more importantly, in Cantonese?

Anda
Anda

I think they know the incubation period by now, at least a minimum period, but it doesn't seem released. WHO will likely decide tomorrow on whether to call for increased response. CDC is also mute on specifics of the virus, using standard coronavirus recommendations for care.

For those interested, for now it is nicknamed 2019-nCoV , some call it beta coronavirus. The phylogenetics are available here

(edit in, site ate one link - search china cdc

a3907201-f64f-4154-a19e-4253b453d10c )

and

WHO has a sitrep that goes into better detail on the state of those infected. Noticed it has three strains already (found in same patient...maybe someone will explain if this is typical ) , the danger is maybe if it becomes more virulent and lethal, something more likely the more people it infects. For now I take it along the lines of other recent epidemics that have been contained, but a pandemic of some kind is very much likely eventually, if not this virus, then some other.

TimeToTest
TimeToTest

Folks might want to get prepared for this.

The scare will be much worse than the virus but it could shut things down for a little while.

Get a few supplies.

Knight
Knight

nothing that can be done to contain a virus of this nature at this point.

ksdude69
ksdude69

I have budlite virus

djhowls
djhowls

What about all the dog and cat served to unknowing Brits in the UK? My local take away was caught serving seagull

Blurtman
Blurtman

It’s a cover for credible reports of brain eating re-animated dead people. And so it begins.

Sechel
Sechel

Chinese censorship along with Chinese media sticking to only official Chinese reports resulted in a slow response and aided the outbreak. They've corrected that but the damage is done. They're doing better than in 2003 when the SARS outbreak occurred but still not enough. Slow dissemination of information during such a serious outbreak is never failed to let the public educate themselves and take the proper precautions.

Wuhan Evening News did not feature the outbreak on its front page for nearly two weeks.

In the United States its now fashionable to trash the news, but they provide a vital function to educate the public. This is one example


Global Economics

FEATURED
COMMUNITY