Corbyn Tables No Confidence Motion After May Sets Brexit Vote Week of Jan 14

After saying he would not make a motion of no confidence, Corbyn changes his mind, says Brexit vote date is too far off.

Earlier today the Guardian Live Blog reported "Jeremy Corbyn drops threat of motion of no confidence in PM after she names date for vote on her Brexit deal." That just changed moments ago.

Corbyn Statement

It’s very clear that it’s bad, unacceptable that we should be waiting almost a month before we have a meaningful vote on the crucial issue facing the future of this country.

The prime minister has obdurately refused to ensure a vote took place on the date she agreed, she refuses to allow a vote to take place this week and is now, I assume, thinking the vote will be on January 14 - almost a month away.

This is unacceptable in any way whatsoever.

So, as the only way I can think of ensuring a vote takes place this week, I’m about to table a motion which says the following: ‘That this House has no confidence in the prime minister due to her failure to allow the House of Commons to have a meaningful vote straight away on the withdrawal agreement and framework for future relationships between the UK ad European Union.’

That will be tabled immediately, Mr Speaker.

Change of Mind

Second Vote Coming

"Asked if May is saying that, if her deal is voted down, she will definitely proceed with a no-deal Brexit, May says that the process she will follow is set down in legislation (ie, the government will make a statement and allow MPs to vote)."

The first vote undoubtedly will not pass. May will then lecture the MPs and schedule a second vote.

If the second vote is close, the EU will make some wishy-washy non-binding statement and there will be a third vote.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock

Comments (2)
No. 1-2
caradoc-again
caradoc-again

Not so sure. It's all guesswork now.

As a related aside - anecdotally - UK business/importers using EU sourced products have been pulling orders forward to help with supply side shock for a few weeks after March 29th 2019. Is that enough? No idea.

The result - warehouse space is limited and some recent EU factory activity has been pulled forward too to supply. PMIs are less than stellar already even allowing for the orders being pulled forward.

What happens to PMIs as that inventory is run down? Every chance of even more weakness just as EU elections come along.

Again, anecdotal, but I don't see strength ahead in UK or EU. The best of this cycle is done for a while. Especially as UK is second net trade partner to Germany. Everyone slows. Not good.

caradoc-again
caradoc-again

The straw that breaks the camel's back?