This increase, up two of the last three months, followed a 6.8 percent July decrease. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.2 percent.”
Yep, new orders are up two of the last three months, but they are also up three of the last five, with two wild swings, one in each direction. Let’s investigate more details.
Durable Goods Categories
Hurricane Harvey destroyed 300,000 to 500,000 vehicles in Houston alone, according to Cox Automotive estimates. The firm, parent company of Kelly Blue Book and AutoTrader.com, has its headquarters in Atlanta.
Good for Dealers Bad for Drivers
Good News for the Economy?
In one word no. Involuntary destruction of productive assets is never a good thing economically.
Today’s durable goods report is likely to boost GDP estimates a tiny bit, but that will come at the expense of already fading future demand.
GDP estimates have fallen substantially.
We have economically clueless officials setting interest rates and policy.
Mike “Mish” Shedlock