Existing Home Sales Erase Last Month's Strong Gains

Mish

Existing home sales fell for the second time in three months. October had a huge gain but it was wiped out.

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reports existing home sales unexpectedly fell 1.7% in November. The NAR originally reported a 1.9% gain on October, but that was revised lower to 1.5%.

Sales of homes in the $0-100,000 and $100,000-$250,000 range fell in all regions. Sales rose in all other price ranges except in the low-volume Northeast.

Sales of home under $250,000 account for 43.7% of sales in the Northeast, 66.7% in the Midwest, 54% in the South, but only 14.8% of homes in the West.

Inventory Yet Again

As is typically the case, NAR economic cheerleader Lawrence Yun complains about lack of inventory.

“The new home construction seems to be coming to the market, but we are still not seeing the amount of construction needed to solve the housing shortage,” Yun said. “It is time for builders to be innovative and creative, possibly incorporating more factory-made modules to make houses affordable rather than building homes all on-site.”

Housing Shortage Nonsense

There is no housing shortage. There is a shortage of houses that people can afford. Builders cannot build them if they wanted too, because they would lose money on them, provided they could get the land and the zoning changes in the firat place.

And of course quality would be crap.

Last Chance for Affordable Home

Following the housing bubble and crash, homes were moderately affordable for a couple years, say July 2010 to July 2012.

But the Fed was hell bent on producing inflation, and did. However, the Fed does not even realize it because housing prices are not in the CPI.

If Yun wants to piss and moan about something he ought to blame the Fed. But he really does not want lower prices as falling prices would not be good for the Realtors.

And during the crash, everyone wanted the Fed and government to "do something". The Fed did. Home prices are up where few can afford them.

Now Yun wants lower prices and more affordable home, but I assure you he will not be happy if he gets them because it will spell recession.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock

Comments (8)
No. 1-6
Casual_Observer
Casual_Observer

Lol. A president gets impeached and this is your lead blog post ? 6 months ago people thought it was over after the Mueller probe and no impeachment would happen. I said the opposite. Trump better enjoy his xmas because it gets worse for him on December 26th.

silvermitt
silvermitt

Thanks for this. People are way overpaying for a home that is falling apart inside. Thanks to the overinflated costs of land, and how the homes are price valued, many wreckages are sold as fantastic investments. Holy hell, how did it ever come to this for the average person? Sad.

Tony Bennett
Tony Bennett

"Existing Home Sales Erase Last Month's Strong Gains"

...

Gee, no one saw this coming ...

The yield plunge in August is long gone (and most since reversed) and those who locked in Aug/Sep drove the bump. November could have been worse ... it had 5 Fridays (good closing day) which provided a bit of a cushion.

Tony Bennett
Tony Bennett

"There is no housing shortage."

...

Federal Reserve bailed out the Boomers. Now they are sitting on their 4/5 BR homes and wonder why broke Millennials (left out of the bailout) don't want / can't afford their homes.

Big homes will become dinosaurs.

Mish
Mish

Editor

Impeachment - Where is it Going? Nowhere?

OK I Will Comment - again - Repeating Myself

mkestrel
mkestrel

Agreed. Its not much different than the "trade deal"


Global Economics

FEATURED
COMMUNITY