Fed Pledges "Patience", Dot Plot Suggests No Hikes in 2019

-edited

Today the Fed pledged patience and a majority of officials signaled they might not raise the rate at all this year.

Statement Tracker

The above image from the Wall Street Journal Statement Tracker.

Bond yields collapse. I will have some charts in just a bit. The statement revisions are substantial, but not massive. The Dot Plot change was massive.

Dot Plot December 2018

That's quite a change. Note in particular the Fantasyland projections for 2020 and 2021.

Powell: 'A Great Time for Us to Be Patient'

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has already fielded a series of questions trying to pin him down on whether, and in which direction, the Fed is inclined to adjust policy. But he's clearly not planning to provide much guidance on that question today.

"Data we’re seeing are not currently sending a signal," of needing to move in either direction. It's "a great time for us to be patient," Mr. Powell said.

The above from Federal Reserve Interest-Rate Decision—Live Analysis.

Inversions are now massive. Some charts coming up shortly.

Meanwhile, here is the pun of the day question.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock

Comments (10)
No. 1-8
Casual_Observer
Casual_Observer

We are headed back to ZIRP by 2022. No way the debt can be refinanced unless it is at near 0.

Stuki
Stuki

When the theft gets tough, the thieves get thievin'

JonSellers
JonSellers

Are they still reducing the balance sheet?

Bam_Man
Bam_Man

The Fed is FUBAR.

Bam_Man
Bam_Man

Only until September. So that means that a $3.5 Trillion balance sheet is now "as good as it gets". FUBAR.