Arguably the best thing about Trump's election is his appointment of Neil Gorsuch to the Supreme Court. Gorsuch is highly likely to be the deciding vote in Janus vs AFSCME.
Labor unions could lose hundreds of thousands of members if the Supreme Court determines this spring that public employees cannot be required to pay union dues, a new study finds.
The court is expected to issue a ruling on the case involving Illinois state worker Mark Janus and the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees union in the coming weeks. If the court rules against the union—the expected outcome now that Justice Neil Gorsuch has joined the court—government workers would have less incentive to join or fund unions that negotiate on their behalf.
Such an outcome would result in an eventual loss of 726,000 union members, according to a study released Wednesday by the Illinois Economic Policy Institute and Robert Bruno, a labor and employment relations professor at the University of Illinois.
The analysis is based on what happened in states such as Michigan and Wisconsin, which in recent years have become “right to work” states and now bar such fees.
The effect of the lost union membership would be dramatic,” Mr. Bruno said this week. “These unions have the capacity to raise wages because the government is the employer of choice in many local areas.”
A drop in public-sector union membership would weaken one of the last strongholds of organized labor, which has lost members in manufacturing and related fields in recent decades.
Government workers accounted for nearly half of all union membership last year and their ranks are increasing, according to Labor Department data. Public-sector union membership has increased by about 500,000 since 1997, while private-sector union membership fell by 1.7 million.
Still, the estimated loss of members after the expected court decision represents only about 10% of the 7.2 million public-sector union members.
Only a Start
Good news is likely, but it's only a start. What's needed is a 100% drop in public union membership.
Public unions and their parasitic practices destroyed Illinois. A pension crisis awaits, 100% sponsored by public unions and politicians who support public unions.
In other cases, unions defend incompetent teachers, even child molester teachers. In Wisconsin, unions demanded that schools get rid of volunteer parents who cleaned blackboards or mowed the grass.
Union Busting Godsend
We need to end collective bargaining by public unions and pass national right-to-work legislation.
Mike "Mish" Shedlock