How Many Lies Will Trump Tell Tonight in His Special Address? Bookies Take Bets

Trump gives a special address tonight on the Wall. You can place bets on the number of lies he will tell.

BookMaker lets you Bet on Political Events. The over-under line for the number of lies tonight is 3.5.

A negative money line represents the amount that you would have to bet to win $100 if you were correct. For example, a -250 money line means you would win $100 if you bet $250 and won the bet.

Thus, betters expect Trump is a big favorite to tell at least 4 lies in his special address to the nation tonight.

Betters overwhelmingly do not believe Trump will declare a national emergency.

Notice that I said "betters" not bookies. The bookies don't care. They take a huge spread and adjust the odds so that they make money regardless of the outcome.

Notice the shutdown options. You have to bet $115 to win $100 no matter which side you bet.

For that bet, the house takes $15 dollars (15%) of every bet made.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock

Comments (32)
No. 1-24
Casual_Observer
Casual_Observer

Schaap60
Schaap60

How many sentences are there in his speech?

Sechel
Sechel

I was thinking about this. Kelly Anne Conway goes on Chris Wallace claiming 4,000 terrorists crossing the border only to get shot down under fact check. Trump's been launching trial balloons all week judging reactions. The talk about declaring a national emergency is most likely another huge trial balloon in my opinion.

Sechel
Sechel

We need Tom Servo, Crow T and Mike Nelson at the bottom of our screen telling jokes and fact checking. That's the only way I'd watch. Trump's speech was made for Mystery Science Theater 3000

AWC
AWC

Politicians lie? The hell you say!