Japan's Population in Record Decline: Startling Projections

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Japan's native population declined by 430,000 people in 2018, a record 0.21%.

Japan is set to lose a midsize city, approximately the size of Austin Texas, every year according to a Financial Times report and stats from the IMF.

“The reason Japan’s population is now falling so fast is not the low birth rate but rather an increase in the number of deaths,” said Akihiko Matsutani, professor emeritus in applied economics at the National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies.

The population decline is despite record immigration.

Interesting Stats

  • There were 944,146 births in the year to October 2018 compared with 1,368,632 deaths.
  • Long-term projections suggest Japan’s population will fall to just 50 million in a hundred years. That's the same population as a hundred years ago.

I suspect the long-term projections are hugely wrong. If so, Japan's mountain of debt will pose a huge problem. Japan's battle against deflation will turn into a battle against inflation.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock

Comments
No. 1-23
Menaquinone
Menaquinone

Russian demographics are more serious. Russia loses one million of their best educated every year.

sequoia512
sequoia512

The Grand Solar Minimum and coming Little Ice Age will take care of 30 to 50 percent of us in the next decade.

FromBrussels
FromBrussels

Ain t that great, when you come to think of it ? If only did would happen on a global scale ! Do we really have to be 20 bln soon on a already half destroyed planet for the mere benefit of the J&Js of this world ? Mankind has already passed its boom cycle and is now being kept alive in a delusive world of intrinsically worthless fiat money! How long can this go on, I wonder ....

William Janes
William Janes

How does this compare to Russia's demographic decline. Oh, I forgot Russia quit releasing that data. China appears to be disguising their decline also.

Carl_R
Carl_R

Japan has long had some seriously messed up demographics. In the midst of WWII, they had a huge birth boom, hoping to populate all the areas they had conquered. Once the bomb dropped, the birth rate dropped to near zero. Thus, they have a huge number of people born in 1942-44. Those people are currently 75-77. It isn't surprising that the death rate is rising. The better question is what the demographics will do once those people are gone.