Little Chance of Coronavirus Containment in South Korea

Mish

One quick glance of S. Korea's infrastructure shows how difficult it will be to stop the Korean coronavirus spread.

Moments ago I reported 115 New Deaths and a South Korea Mayoral Alert "Stay Indoors".

The alert was issued by Daegu mayor Kwon Young-jin.

With that, the mayor just told a city of 2.5 million to "stay indoors"

That's highly unlikely until it's ordered.

The alert follows news that the South Korean Ministry of Health and Welfare reported a total of 104 confirmed cases of COVID-19 and 1 death, more than double the 51 cases reported yesterday. Of the newly reported cases, 28 are linked to churches associated with known confirmed cases (5 at one church and 23 at another) and 14 are linked to hospitals (1 at one hospital and 13 at another). In a briefing earlier today, South Korean MOH officials announced that they expect to identify additional cases linked to the churches.

Another Wuhan?

Seoul to Daegu Trains

Please consider the Rail.Ninga Schedule

High-speed bullet train from Seoul to Daegu is definitely one of the most comfortable ways to journey between the two cities as it will take you from Seoul Central Station to both Dongdaegu station or Daegu station in just about 2 hours. High-speed Intercity train Mugunghwa, as well as express trains ITX-Saemaul and ITX, provide an amazing opportunity to travel with comfort though the trip will take approximately 3,5 hours. It is worth considering that ticket prices are almost the same for each type of train, so ardent train journey enthusiasts who value fast connections will be satisfied. With more than 80 bullet train departures depending on the weekday, an extensive train schedule allows you to plan your upcoming adventure absolutely worry-free. Already feel inspired to tour South Korea? Check Seoul to Daegu train timetable and book the best tickets with Rail Ninja, the online booking platform for European trains.

Direct Flights

Via Korean Airline there are many flights between Daegu and the USA. Here are some I found on SkyScanner.

Fed Minutes Highlight Coronavirus Concerns and Uncertainty 8 Times

Yesterday I commented Fed Minutes Highlight Coronavirus Concerns and Uncertainty 8 Times

Those minutes are from a January 28-29 meeting before there was much of any concern elsewhere.

Please note that Half the Population of China, 760 Million, Now Locked Down

From an economic standpoint, January say the Largest Shipping Decline Since 2009 and That's Before Coronavirus impact hit.

Supply chain disruptions have barely started.

It is impossible to estimate the full impact as long as cases are spreading. Worse yet, cases are exponentially rising outside of China.

Stay Indoors, Really?!

How likely is that?

Is there something that need to be done other than a suggestion?

Mike "Mish" Shedlock

Comments (41)
Latkes
Latkes

Wash you hands. Too many people don't and many of those who do, are not doing it correctly.

No. 1-12
njbr
njbr

S. Korea considers raising alert level [to red] over coronavirus

AWC
AWC

Well, let’s see,,,I can go about life as usual, standing in the line of fire of this thing, hoping is misses me, or if it hits, maybe contracting a mild case, and thereby developing an inkling of immunity, or I can run off to the boonies and wait for it to eventually find me, then play the odds of the outcome out there?

Dunno,,,some folks wade into the cold river one toe at a time, while others just dive in.

Will nature simply take it’s course here, or will some omnipotent deity like the Fed, or The Donald or Rachael Madcow come to the rescue?

All said, nothing in this world is “Sustainable,” not even life itself.

Carry on !

sangell
sangell

I vaguely recall that South Koreans, not so long ago, sent balloons with packets of cash, letters and CDs aloft over the DMZ so the people of North Korea would find them. Maybe they still are. If so that is a big problem for Kim Jong Un and, might even be considered an act of war!

Tony Bennett
Tony Bennett

Stay Indoors, Really?!

How likely is that?

...

I think of a big snowstorm. Many will stay in for a day or two. Then cabin fever and reality set in (like, uh, we need food and stuff ... oh, and going back to job ... if possible ... to earn $$s) and folks will venture out ... carefully. Demand will crater, nevertheless ... leading to a cascade of economic unpleasantries.

sangell
sangell

Watched Kubrick's classic 'Dr. Strangelove' last night on TCM. As General Turgidson pointed out it is time we stop thinking about the 'what ifs' of Coronavirus and realize an insane General Ripper has launched his bombers. China is knocked out for the duration and its bottom feeding allies, like Iran, Russia and North Korea are on their back foot too. The PLA, as it is being used for political and quarantine enforcement, will be infected with the virus and useless for military operations. Trump has a handful of aces as long as the virus is kept out of the Americas. Will he play his hand?

MiTurn
MiTurn

Makes me wonder about their neighbors to the north. North Korea will be a forest fire.

bradw2k
bradw2k

I'm assuming within a couple of years every country on the planet will have full exposure to this virus. Govs can slow the initial spread down, but humans move around too dang much to keep this thing (which is transmissible days if not weeks before symptoms appear) from spreading to every corner of Earth.

Did hear some good news on NPR about a recent study: in a sample of infants who tested positive, none of them developed severe symptoms. And in a sample of pregnant women, no vertical transmission, from mother to fetus, was detected.

dodo
dodo

Wont be long before you catch the flu and then we will see how a sophisticated empire handle it

tokidoki
tokidoki

Same with Japan. Anything rail related, Japan does better in terms of convenience, etc. That means, faster transmission. But then again Japanese people are really good about wearing masks. So maybe not.

William Janes
William Janes

First, I doubt that these city wide quarantines are that effective. Eventually everyone has to wander. If we are as a country, U.S., are unlucky enough for this to become an epidemic here. I plan on following the simple techniques that have been explained in depth so far. Also I intend to cooperate and follow public health advice. I have kept substantial food and medical supplies for emergencies, and I plan on trading and sharing and assisting my neighbors, and hope that they will do likewise. I firmly believe that cooperation, sharing, and common sense will prevail over hording and panic.

tokidoki
tokidoki

Or maybe not. Amazon currently sells N95 masks made by Eco Solutions. And apparently they were made in ...... the Hubei province. I kid you not.


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