Peak Hillary?

Peter Atwater, President of Financial Insyghts and Author of Moods and Markets asked an interesting question today: “Have we reached peak Hillary yet?”

by Mish

In Atwater’s tweet, he posted a flashback to this January 2014 Time Magazinecover.

The answer to the question “Can anyone stop Hillary?” is pretty obvious: Yes, Trump can easily win if he can ever learn to control his mouth (a recession hits or some dirt that matters comes out on Hillary that matters).

Ridiculous Forecasts

I watch with amusement as Nate Silver posts his ridiculous forecasts on the Presidential Election Odds.

Rest assured, Hillary does not have a 79% chance of winning.

Pure Idiocy

  • Supposedly, Hillary has a 79.9% chance of winning in November as of today.
  • Supposedly, Trump had a 50.1% chance of winning in November on July 31, just four days ago!
  • Supposedly, Hillary had a 77.4% chance of winning in November on July 12.

This is pure idiocy.

Silver is clearly taking the news of the day and projecting it out to November when voters clearly have a time span of about three days.

How Silver can look himself in a mirror and make such widely varying off the wall predictions is a mystery.

Social Mood

Atwater had a second tweet today that is quite interesting.

Social Mood is clearly in control here.

Silver is totally clueless about what social mood will be in November, just as he was totally clueless about social mood the entire Republican nomination process.

Mike “Mish” Shedlock

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