The Most Redeeming Feature of Capitalism is Failure

Mish

Capitalism is under attack by utopians who wish to impose a more compassionate system and by political opportunists.

Capitalism Under Attack by Two Groups

  1. Misguided utopian socialists including Bernie Sanders, an entire group of writers at The Intercept, academia, and the liberal media in general.
  2. Political Opportunists like Elizabeth Warren who ridiculously claims to be "capitalist to my bones" but who in fact is a Marxist like Jeremy Corbyn, a UK Labour politician who just went down in flames in the December UK election. Most Illinois politicians also fall in this group.

It's hard to know whether to place some in group one or group two, or both.

This subject came up when someone on Twitter called me a POS for proposing bankruptcy as a solution.

The discussion reminded me an article I wrote in 2009. Here are the key parts, emphasis added.

The Most Redeeming Feature of Capitalism is Failure

There is an interesting interview in Barron's with two hedge fund managers called Shorting the Economic Recovery.

Here are some interesting interview snips pertaining to capitalism and fractional reserve lending. The rest of the article is by subscription only.

PERHAPS ONE OF THE greatest failings in the run-up to the financial meltdown was a lack of perspective -- an inability by many market participants to see the big picture. Not so with Kevin Duffy and Bill Laggner, principals of the Dallas-based hedge fund Bearing Asset Management. With the help of their proprietary credit-bubble index, developed in 2004, the managers sounded early warnings on housing and credit excesses, and capitalized handsomely on their forecasts by shorting Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, money-center banks and brokers, builders, mortgage insurers and the like.

Students of the Austrian school of economics, which espouses a free-market philosophy that ascribes business-cycle booms and busts to government meddling with interest rates, the pair is solidly in the contrarian camp, believing that the worst for the markets may be yet to come.

Barron's: You've said that perhaps the most redeeming feature of capitalism is failure. Please explain.

Duffy: Any healthy system needs a way to correct error and remove waste. Nature has extinction, the economy has loss, bankruptcy, liquidation. Interfering in this process lengthens feedback loops. Error and waste are allowed to accumulate, and you ultimately get a massive collapse.

Capitalism is primarily attacked by two groups: utopians who wish to impose a more "compassionate" system, and political capitalists who want to enjoy the fruits of success without bearing the pain of failure. They use the coercion of the state to gain privileges, at the expense of everyone else.

As a country we've become less tolerant of economic failure. The result has been a series of interventions, such as meddling in the credit markets, promoting homeownership and creating a variety of safety nets for investors. Each crisis leads to an even greater crisis. The solution is always greater doses of intervention. So the system becomes increasingly unstable. The interventionists never see the bust coming, then blame it on "capitalism."

Barron's: What would you have done differently as the credit bubble was bursting and the Fed and the Treasury were declaring that the world would come to an end without an $800 billion bailout package?

Duffy: Allow those who essentially bet wrongly to fail, instead of bailing out people with friends in high places.

Barron's: What about the argument that a financial panic would have ensued and crushed the little guy?

Duffy: The little guy actually has been crushed. The little guy is always going to be the last one in the soup line. So he will get a bone tossed to him, like cash for clunkers. But if you are Goldman Sachs or if you have got essentially the red bat-phone to Washington, D.C., you are first in line.

Laggner: There is still a multi-trillion dollar shadow banking system that FASB [the Financial Accounting Standards Board] wants to address next year. The central planners have already spent $3.15 trillion on various bailouts, credit backstops, guarantees, etc., and given approximately $17.5 trillion of government commitments, etc., while allowing many of these institutions to remain in place, with the same people running them.

Barron's: What else could have been done?

Laggner: We could have isolated the money centers and put them in temporary receivership. Then, we could have created -- with a mere $100 billion -- a thousand community banks. If you believe in fractional reserve lending [in which banks lend multiples of their deposits], something we don't support, they could have created a trillion dollars in new credit that would have flowed to small and medium-sized businesses. Those are the parts of the economy that are choking.

Barron's: What kind of financial reform would you like to see?

Laggner: We don't believe in a central bank. The idea that banks can speculate with essentially free money from the [Federal Reserve], which ultimately is the taxpayer, and that when they lose money the Fed bails them out and then passes that invoice to the taxpayer -- that whole model is broken and needs to go away.

Duffy: To get to the heart of the problem, we need to address fractional-reserve banking, which is causing the instability. We have essentially socialized deposit insurance and prevented the bank run, which used to impose discipline on this unstable system. At least it had some check on those who were acting most recklessly. Until we address the root of the problem, we are going to have a series of crises, greater responses and intervention, and more bubbles -- and the system will keep perpetuating itself.

Misguided Blaming of Capitalism

Duffy hits the nail on the head when it comes to regulation and intervention: The interventionists never see the bust coming, then blame it on "capitalism."

Intervention created Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the "AAA" rating of pure junk via government sponsorship of Moody's, Fitch, and the S&P.

Furthermore, FDIC regulation designed to prevent bank failures and runs on banks did nothing of the kind. Instead, the FDIC created a false sense of security for decades, followed by a massive collapse of banks, including the largest bank failures in history.

In 2009, 140 banks failed and that number will likely be topped in 2010.

FDIC is a moral hazard as well as Ponzi scheme of immense proportion. It allows marginal banks to raise needed funds by offering above market government guaranteed CDs. Such guarantees helped fund ridiculous condo projects by Bank United, Corus Bank, and others. Indeed, many regional banks jumped on board with enormous leverage in commercial real estate.

Very few understand how destabilizing FDIC is to the banking system.

Fractional Reserve Lending Disaster

I also agree with Laggner that Fractional Reserve Lending is a bad idea.

For example, if Fannie and Freddie had to back up their mortgages 100% with bonds of matching duration instead of the mere 3% now in place, if 100% reserves were required on checking accounts, and if there was no FDIC, it is highly doubtful things would have gotten so out of hand.

Interestingly, the legislation that created Fannie and Freddie explicitly states that its securities are not backed by the government. Supposedly, the GSE's were to receive no direct government funding or backing.

Both president Bush and president Obama (as well as the treasury departments under each administration) have shown little concern for such technicalities. Increasingly presidents are of the mind "we have to destroy capitalism to save it" or as President Bush stated (and Obama practices)“I’ve abandoned free-market principles to save the free-market system.”

2020 Comments

Here we are again: Borden Makes Surprise Bankruptcy Filing

The interventionists now want to save Elsie the Cow just as they wanted government to save Fannie Mae, Lehman, and the housing market.

Elsie a Zombie, Not a Cow

Zombie firms are companies that are unable to cover debt servicing costs from current profits over an extended period.

Cheap financing is the primary cause.

The result of zombification is low productivity as noted in Rise of the Zombie Corporations: Percentage Keeps Increasing

Also note Uber's Big Problem: It's a Zombie Corporation That Can't Make Any Money

Lesson Not Learned

Ben Bernanke bemoaned his one failure, letting Lehman go bankrupt. I propose it was about the only thing he got correct. The Fed bailed out everything else.

No lesson was learned. If you prefer, financial institutions learned they will be bailed out again.

Although we are not in a recession yet, the economic illiterates already scream for more intervention. Supposedly I am a POS for not wanting to save Elsie.

The trucking industry is next on the bailout intervention list.

Moral Hazards of Intervention

But every intervention is a moral hazard that promotes more intervention. And at increasing cost.

Few blame the root cause of all these failures: Loose money, fractional reserve lending, and government interventions to promote housing, solar energy, etc.

Meanwhile, the excesses and speculation have piled up an amazing amount of tinder in search of a match.

A match will be found. Then everyone will scream for more Fed tinder to save the day.

One Reasonable Solution

There is one way to stop the madness. It starts here: Trump Nominates Gold Advocate Judy Shelton for the Fed

Mike "Mish" Shedlock

Comments (38)
No. 1-18
compsult
compsult

A vampire stake has been driven through Schumpeter's heart , creative destruction is dead. I look at Panama, no central bank, no FDIC, people watch for when a bank gets dicey and pull their funds. Seems to be working well there

WebSurfinMurf
WebSurfinMurf

Failure to let Capitalism / free market to create failure simply shifts the consequences to different people in society to bear.

SMF
SMF

Welfare is bad, whether it is personal or business. If people and businesses don't suffer from the consequences of their wrong actions, nothing will be learned.

Bam_Man
Bam_Man

In a Centrally Planned economic system, nothing is allowed to fail - until the entire system collapses. Tick Tock.....

Tony Bennett
Tony Bennett

"Allow those who essentially bet wrongly to fail, instead of bailing out people with friends in high places."

...

Back in the day ... Warren Buffet ... when still climbing the mountain ... talked of buying when there is 'Blood in the Streets' ... now that he is at the top ... and it will be HIS blood ...

Webej
Webej

Ah. A healthy system. There's no such thing. Evolution is not a healthy system that weeds out failure. Mismatching of metaphors. There's no such thing as a healthy economy. Health is organic. Economics is something different entirely. Did nomads have a healthy economy? It is a meaningless question. Were the cavemen capitalists because they "failed" big time quite easily? Hardly. Even Putin and XI would agree that you need to curb failing enterprises and restore balance when things start to list to one side.

Pretending there is some "natural" system along which the economy should be organized so it will work better obscures the real questions, which are about what we value as individuals and what we value as a society. We value shiny toys, but we also value justice, and sometimes circumstances force you to choose.

Casual_Observer
Casual_Observer

As long as we are bailing out some at the expense of others why not bail everyone out. This is the socialists point. Capitalists want bailouts of themselves at the expense of everyone else because they think being closer to controlling the system should be rewarded as success and not failure.

Tony Bennett
Tony Bennett

"Supposedly, the GSE's were to receive no direct government funding or backing."

...

Yes. Bernanke took it upon himself to put an explicit guarantee on GSE securities ... with barely a whimper from Congress ... which means he received behind closed doors permission from Congress ... members of Congress certainly didn't want the wrath of voters for bail out. The impetus was China holding hundreds of $billions in GSE securities. Had to bail them out. I suppose.

Freebees2me
Freebees2me

While failure is a cruel schoolmarm, a fool will learn from no other...

mharris240
mharris240

James Grant got it right in his 2014 book, The Forgotten Depression, 1921, on why the depression of 1920–1921 was relatively short compared to the 21st century's economic recession and the following economic downturn that started in 2007.

"The essential point about the long ago downturn of 1920–1921 is that it was kind of a last demonstration of how a price mechanism works and the last governmentally unmediated business cycle downturn, meaning it was the last one that the government didn't attempt to treat with fiscal intervention with much lower interest rates. In fact the FED, then still wet behind the ears as it only had been founded in 1914, actually raised rates in the face of a truly brutal deflation."

Mish, you've got it right for sure - bankruptcy is the answer.

Freebees2me
Freebees2me

At its essence, "Capitalism" is not a system. It is simply a label people use to describe economic interactions between free people in a free society. Absent free people interacting in a free society, capitalism does not (and cannot) exist since its predicate is, and always will be, personal freedom.

So called capitalism that lies within a socialist society is merely mimicking the attributes of "capitalism,' but it is not itself "Capitalism" because it lacks a necessary component, i.e., the 'Right to Fail."

Therefore, the "Right to Fail" can serve as a valuable litmus test for determining whether personal freedom truly exists within a society.

Question: does the US (or anywhere in the World) still enable the "Right to Fail"? Or have those in the political class so eroded 'personal freedoms' that the Right to Fail no longer exists?

It's growing very doubtful....

Brutus' Admirer
Brutus' Admirer

POS? Are you purposely trying to be obscure?

Carl_R
Carl_R

Outstanding article, one that makes the point Kondratiev made years ago. As an economist in Russia, his opinion was unpopular. He believed that capitalism left alone would not collapse, but rather would have periodic depressions that would purge the excesses, making the system stronger for the next cycle.

One obvious excess was the taking on of too much debt. When fear of collapse is present, debt is feared. Since it has been many years since the excesses were last purged, people no longer save for a rainy day, but instead borrow to their limits.

Tengen
Tengen

Fortunately for the TBTF walking dead among us, we officially outlawed failure back in 2008.

Thinking of Elsie as a zombie cow logo made me laugh. It would be appropriate for sure. Maybe her eyes would be red, and instead of daisies around her neck she could wear little skulls?

killben
killben

The present capitalism works like this...

Meddle in the market (by setting interest rate) ---> To oil the system further, look the other way when it comes to regulation ---> Allow things to get euphoric with the market a sight to behold (with all risks fully clothed in an up and away index) ---> Things look like coming apart --MEDDLE IN THE MARKET- cut interest rate--> Works for some time ---> Pat yourself on the back---> Things again look like coming apart (as in Sept 2019) --->Throw as much money as is required to put off the fire as the printing press is at your beck and call (also you have the "courage to act") ---> Fire put off, pat yourself on the back as the fire extinguisher par excellence (forget the fact that you are the arsonist) ---> Back to allowing market to get euphoric (WHERE WE ARE NOW) ---> Things look like coming apart (COMING TO THE THEATER SOON) ---> Meddle with money and interest rate --> Rinse Repeat

In this process the people smiling all the way to the bank are those who make a bet (with other people's money) that the arsonists will become the fire extinguishers when push comes to shove.

No wonder some people think that the present capitalism is crap and if you want a properly functioning capitalism the only way to get it by removing the meddlers (the arsonists masquerading as fire extinguishers) from the scene. Will it happen? Being an optimist, I hope so!

SleemoG
SleemoG

Would be nice if we had capitalism instead of the fascist welfare system we presently have.

"Too big to fail" and capitalism are mutually-exclusive concepts.

RonJ
RonJ

"There is one way to stop the madness. It starts here: Trump Nominates Gold Advocate Judy Shelton for the Fed"

Greenspan was a gold bug. He became the Head FED. While Head FED, Greenspan turned his back on gold. When Bernanke was Head FED, he said the reason they kept gold was tradition. After leaving the FED, Greenspan became a gold bug again. As Head FED it was inconvenient to be a gold bug.

In 1971, gold became inconvenient, so the peg was broken, just as later the Swiss Franc peg to the dollar became inconvenient, and it was broken.

All cycles reset, coming back to Zero degrees. Crashes are a reset.

Sechel
Sechel

When I think of America's failures I think of coddled , protected and subsidized industries. Right now the big banks, the auto companies and large integrated steel comes to mind. We wasted money bailing out GM and Ford(Yes Ford) . Both seem destined to fail again. Can say the same for the big banks which are repeatedly bailed out, look at the history of Citibank. Banks are benefits of numerous subsidies and the biggest are in that too big to fail category and everyone knows they'll get bailed out yet again so managemnet takes outside risks. All that tariffs have done for USX is allowed them to raise prices


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