Trump Declares Victory in Staged Mexico Crisis

-edited

A reader asked me if I was surprised by Trump's deal with Mexico. Of course, I wasn't.

In response to Investigating Trump's Trade War Through the Eyes of China, a reader responded: "Seems like the threat of tariffs brought results. Surprised?"

I replied "Of course not. I talked about this kind of BS in advance. Here is an excellent summation [Tweet] from someone else."

https://twitter.com/nedprice/status/1137156676979712001

That was an amazingly accurate Tweet by Ned Price.

At the time of my reply, I was not aware of this about-to-break story and I do not know if Price was either.

Color neither of us surprised.

Mexico Agreed to Take Border Actions Months Before Trump Announced Tariff Deal

Please consider Mexico Agreed to Take Border Actions Months Before Trump Announced Tariff Deal

The deal to avert tariffs that President Trump announced with great fanfare on Friday night consists largely of actions that Mexico had already promised to take in prior discussions with the United States over the past several months, according to officials from both countries who are familiar with the negotiations.

Friday’s joint declaration says Mexico agreed to the “deployment of its National Guard throughout Mexico, giving priority to its southern border.” But the Mexican government had already pledged to do that in March during secret talks in Miami between Kirstjen Nielsen, then the secretary of homeland security, and Olga Sanchez, the Mexican secretary of the interior, the officials said.

Having threatened Mexico with an escalating series of tariffs — starting at 5 percent and growing to 25 percent — the president faced enormous criticism from global leaders, business executives, Republican and Democratic lawmakers, and members of his own staff that he risked disrupting a critical marketplace.

After nine days of uncertainty, Mr. Trump backed down and accepted Mexico’s promises.

Crisis Questionnaire

https://twitter.com/MishGEA/status/1137526922731298816

Ignore my post title. This is a tough one. I do not know the answer.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock

Comments (20)
No. 1-13
lol
lol

Another classic Trump bs deal lol.Sure he was bluffing,Mexicans (everybody)knew it, so politicians do want they were bred to do.....pretend,like that USMCA bs,just play along and pretend.Problem is what happens when those MILLIONS (with an m)keep pouring across the border?

thimk
thimk

ya the scenario does seem to fit the Trump behavioral template, and I don't condone his previous trade policies, BUT we have a serious issue on our borders . he is using the only remedy available to the executive branch . Tariffs threats might insure mexican compliance. thumps up on this one.

mharris240
mharris240

Whoa. Hold on a sec... Mexico agreed back in March to deploy of its National Guard throughout Mexico, giving priority to its southern border:

"Friday’s joint declaration says Mexico agreed to the “deployment of its National Guard throughout Mexico, giving priority to its southern border.” But the Mexican government had already pledged to do that in March during secret talks in Miami between Kirstjen Nielsen, then the secretary of homeland security, and Olga Sanchez, the Mexican secretary of the interior, the officials said."

Pledged in March. Read it again if you missed that. It's now June. And just three days ago (June 5) we got this headline:

"Record number of undocumented immigrants flooded the southern border in May"

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/immigration/record-number-undocumented-immigrants-flooded-southern-border-may-n1014186

Pledged in March; record number of illegals in May.

So Mexican government, when are you going to actually do what you've pledged to do? Maybe Trump should have had Mexico clarify that actual year they were going to deploy their guard... say perhaps in 2020? 2021? Or whenever they get to it?

Seems to me that maybe Trump's thinking the same thing I am, and just perhaps he's getting a bit frustrated with the Mexican govt. Maybe tariffs were his way of getting their attention.

Cecil1
Cecil1

Meanwhile, in reality, where the consequences continue for Americans, Mexico has DONE nothing no matter what is claimed about a 'deal'

The invasion continues and is worsening. Its not about Trump.

And tariffs are a completely valid way to get action and defend the border.

The real issue is that you don't actually want the border defended. The rest is smug rationalization

0327trader
0327trader

Resist, Deny, Lie, Investigate,Change the rules, move the goal posts. Everything except legislate. The Democraps and RepubliCons have proven they can't manage themselves let alone this Nation. I am very glad that it took Mr Donald J. Trump to show how poorly our country has been run and the deception done to the people of this Nation. I am one of those deplorable's who have had enough. Get behind this great POTUS and be on the right side of history.