US Cases Jump 14,000 in a Day, Germany Bans Groups of 3

Mish

The latest coronavirus news isn't pretty. Here's what's happening.

US Cases Rose by Nearly 14,000

Stats from Worldometers.

More realistically, the number of cases rose because testing rose. Regardless, the caseload will soon be over 100,000.

News of the Day

  • 2442 new cases and 9 new deaths in Germany. German Chancellor Angela Merkel in quarantine at home after a doctor who gave her prophylactic vaccinations on Friday has tested positive for the coronavirus
  • India puts 75 districts in lockdown with only essential services open
  • 1028 new cases and 129 new deaths in Iran
  • 573 new cases and 43 new deaths in the Netherlands

Germany Bans Groups Over 2

The New York Times reports Germany Bans Groups of More Than 2 to Stop Coronavirus as Merkel Self-Isolates

Germany on Sunday barred groups of more than two people from gathering, except for families, as Chancellor Angela Merkel said she herself was going into isolation because her doctor had tested positive for the coronavirus. .

The doctor vaccinated Ms. Merkel against pneumonia on Friday, the chancellor’s office said.positive for the coronavirus.

“We are further reducing public life and social contact and ensuring that the measures will be nationwide,” the chancellor said. “Everyone should organize their movements according to these regulations.”

Under the new restrictions, restaurants, which were previously allowed to seat customers during the day at a safe distance from each other, will be allowed to stay open but provide only delivery and takeout services. Hairdressers, massage studios and tattoo parlors must now close their doors.

There have also been reports of “corona parties” held by youths in different corners of Germany, causing alarm among the authorities in a country better known for adhering to rules. Some parties, where youths in large groups drank alcohol and chanted, “Corona, corona,” had to be broken up by the police.

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Mike "Mish" Shedlock

Comments (40)
RayLopez
RayLopez

Sunday night Greece also announced a lockdown beginning 3/23/20 for 14 days. You need permission to even visit the grocery store, on self-written forms. Automobiles having more than two people in them are banned.

No. 1-14
QE2Infinity
QE2Infinity

How did so many seniors get infected in Italy? From the atistics I saw, a bulk of the know cases are seniors.

tokidoki
tokidoki

The numbers from California look suspect. Like really? Apparently LA hospitals have stopped testing.

Speaking about bad vaccine, the lack of testing will lead to a premature Get Back To Work, Everything's Normal order. That might be devastating.

njbr
njbr

What pandemic aid would Trump ship to North Korea?

njbr
njbr

The need for reactive and proactive testing....

....Basically, there are a few kinds of testing information we wish we had. One is using real-time PCR — RT-PCR. You’re actually measuring the presence of the [ribonucleic acid, or RNA] of the virus in the host of the human sample. It’s telling you this person in front of you is infected at this moment. That’s useful for a diagnosis. But it’s not useful for very much more than that. On Tuesday the test might come up negative, but the person might be positive on Thursday.

The second kind of test would be an antibody test. What that’s measuring is: “Has your body ever seen the virus?” That’s useful in two ways. As a diagnostic, it gives the refined information: “Yes, you have this in you at the moment.” It also can guide the activities of the physician, who might say, “Gee, I’ve got a pneumonia patient, I wonder if they’ve ever had COVID?” But the most important thing is that that test can be a public-health tool. If we had this antibody test, we can go around randomly selecting people in New York City and find out how many New Yorkers, including right now, have had this virus in their bodies. Since we know the virus has never been in human beings before, anybody who has antibodies against it has been exposed since January.

If we can get this antibody test mass-produced — and I know they’re working on it right now — and put it into commercialization really quickly, this could be a game-changer for the whole pandemic. One of the things we would love to know right now is how many people who have had pneumonia since January were actually COVID cases? Having answers to that question would make a difference on a policy level. If we were suddenly seeing a surge in hidden pneumonia cases since mid-February, that would tell us we’re in deep, deep doo-doo; that this thing is like Italy; that we’re going to suddenly skyrocket and our hospitals are going to be overwhelmed. But if, by contrast, the same number of cases are found in the historic samples going back to the first of January, that would tell us, “Okay, it’s gradually unfolding, we don’t have to go down to lockdown every single person in New York, we may be able to flatten the curve.” And that makes a big difference in terms of how drastic our policies need to be. There’s a reason that the governor and the mayor and the mayor’s own department advisers are arguing. We just don’t have good, solid data to work with. We’re flying blind in New York City. They’re even blinder outside the city because the population’s more scattered....

Lance Manly
Lance Manly

Apparently LA hospitals have stopped testing

In general yes. They are preserving the tests and the required gear for those who are hospitalized and seriously ill or health workers so that can to continue to give care.

shamrock
shamrock

1 out of every 35 NBA players has tested positive. If that rate holds in general population that would mean around 10,000,000 Americans are already infected.

Quatloo
Quatloo

More than half of all U.S. cases are in New York! Does that mean they are doing more testing there?

Do the tests tell only whether you have it or not? Or can you also tell whether someone has already had it (and presumably is immune)?

njbr
njbr

USA! USA! We're #3!

klausmkl
klausmkl

I had a sniffle last week. It lasted a whole day then passed. I blew my nose 1 time. I was infected. It passed.

Sechel
Sechel

Angela Merkel's doctor has tested positive . she's now under home quarantine and will be retested several times since a test now may not be accurate.

Bohm-Bawerk
Bohm-Bawerk

This is like World War II, it took us a while to get into the war, but once we turned to a true war footing the country went full force. Now that we are getting testing, and the hospitals are finally getting to a war footing, hopefully we can shut this down (in a matter of months). Our f....ing country finally woke up. Let's see if we can turn the war machine on.

tokidoki
tokidoki

Some good news. Testing kit from BGI Group (Chinese company) has been approved by the US. They are shipping them out now. Priority should be California and perhaps Florida. NYorkers seem to have their act together.

Carl_R
Carl_R

Note that this article is based on a data error. I saw the same data that Mish posted above, and shortly afterwards about 8,000 of the US cases vanished. More cases have appeared all day long, but we are still only to 33,546 as I write this, below the 38,167 Mish screen-grabbed.

On the whole it's been a "quiet" weekend, going from 19,576 to 33,546 in 2 days, an average of 30.9% a day, down from 45% a day the two days prior. Going forward social distancing will help, and California stopping testing will also make the numbers "look" better. On the other hand, students returning from Spring break will lead to a new surge in cases and fatalities.


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