What a City With Driverless Cars Will Look Like (In 10 Years or Less)

My vision of driverless trucks and taxis within the time frame of six to eight years looks downright feeble to that of Chris Dixon, a partner at prestigious Silicon Valley investment firm Andreessen Horowitz.

by Mish

Not only does Horowitz see things happening faster than I do, he envisions entire cities totally driverless within ten years.

Within ten years, roads will be full of driverless cars. Maybe within two, depending on where you’re driving.
That’s what Chris Dixon, a partner at prestigious Silicon Valley investment firm Andreessen Horowitz believes.

Dixon Predictions

  • In about 2 years, you’ll be chauffeured around in driverless cars on highways.
  • Regulations will change quickly because of a global autonomous race.
  • “At some point, it will be seen as a national priority to be ahead in self-driving cars,” similar to the space race of the 1960s.
  • Entire cities will flip from drivers to driverless all at once, and they’ll change how we live and commute.
  • Within 10 years, we won’t own cars, we’ll just hail them.
  • The real hold up on driverless cars isn’t technology — it’s all of us

Driverless Car City

Before dismissing Dixon’s view as ridiculous, please read the article.

Mish vs. Dixon

My vision is that driverless trucks will displace millions of long-haul truck drivers in a six to eight year time frame. Dixon takes my rather simplistic vision multiple levels further.

I think Dixon is ahead of things time-wise, perhaps way ahead. Yet, I propose he is far closer to the mark than those who think my comparatively modest vision is decades away.

Mike “Mish” Shedlock

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