Biden Guarantees He Will Win in South Carolina

Mish

In the Democratic debate in South Carolina, Joe Biden told a reporter he would win the state primary.

In South Carolina, Bernie Sanders Takes Heat in a Messy Debate.

It was the tenth overall debate, and candidates on stage included Sanders, former Vice President Joe Biden, Sens. Amy Klobuchar and Elizabeth Warren, former New York Mayor Mike Bloomberg, billionaire Tom Steyer, and former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg.

On the debate stage, candidates tried to direct attention to Sanders, with Bloomberg pointing to the Vermont senator’s vote against the Brady Bill, which mandated the establishment of a background check and stricter gun control measures.

Bloomberg, who took a beating in last week’s Democratic debate, appeared more steady on Tuesday. After a widely panned performance during his first time on stage with his rivals, the billionaire businessman responded to criticism about his record on policing, sexual harassment and donating to Republican political candidates with what seemed like more prepared remarks.

Biden predicted a win in South Carolina on Saturday when he was pressed by the moderators on his sinking poll numbers in the state.

“I will win South Carolina,” Biden said in response to a question asking if he’d end his candidacy if he doesn’t get the votes. “I don’t expect anything. I’m here to ask. I’m here to earn. But folks, I intend to win South Carolina and I will win the African American vote here in South Carolina,” Biden added.

Mish Debate Assessment

I missed the first 15 minutes of the debate.

My assessment of the rest was "boring".

Overall I thought Biden did about as well as he could have.

Bloomberg did much better than his first debate. Admittedly, that is a very low bar, but when you have billions to spend, it might matter.

Buttigieg and Klobuchar both did OK in the debate, but it will not matter unless they pull some sort of miracle in South Carolina.

Billionaires can stay in as long as they want, but at some point the DNC will need to up the requirements. Curiously, there were 7 candidates on stage Tuesday evening compared to 6 in Nevada.

The primaries were supposed to weed out candidates.

Super Tuesday Loom Large

  • Super Tuesday is March 3, a week from today.
  • If Biden does very well in South Carolina on February 29, and I expect he will, it may be a brand new ball game headed into Super Tuesday.
  • The easy road for Sanders is now in the rear view mirror.
  • I still see no path for any candidate to get 50% of the delegates heading into the convention.

In short, Biden did what he had to do to stay in the race.

On Saturday, the voters in South Carolina will set the stage for Super Tuesday.

If Sanders does not have a huge plurality coming on March 3, he likely will not get one.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock

Comments (26)
Sechel
Sechel

Biden was always expected to win South Carolina. If he merely wins by a few percentage points that's not good news. He was earlier predicted to decimate it. Polling suggests Sanders has made inroads to Biden's black support. If true Biden is toast.

Bloomberg did very well in my view. He didn't win the debate but he held his ground and made his points. With six people on stage being the clear winner would have been tough watching the debate I don't think anyone came away a clear winner. I don't see anyone as having had a fantastic performance but Styer was wasting his time there and I thought Biden looked weak.

Bloomberg missed an opportunity in my view. He should have been hammering home the point that everyone there was basicallly a legislature at best who never did anything. Bloomberg did make that point but he should have done it with more flair.

No. 1-10
Sechel
Sechel

Elizabeth Warren's performance in both the second and first debate makes no apparent strategic sense. She's not going after Sanders preferring to attack Bloomberg. It yielded her no polling benefit after the first debate and I suspect that will remain. The behavior has two explanations either she's lost it and simply hates Mike Bloomberg or she cut a deal with Bernie Sanders. The former is possible but the latter is far more likely in my view. Surprised nobody else has noticed her seemingly odd debate tactics

Quatloo
Quatloo

Biden seemed perpetually angry throughout the debate. No one really stood out as doing great or awful. There were a lot of crazy things said, but the craziest was Joe Biden repeatedly saying 150 million people have been killed by gun violence in America since 2007, which he correctly pointed out is more than died in all the wars since Vietnam.

Zardoz
Zardoz

Biden looks like he belongs in a memory care ward.

Wmjack50
Wmjack50

Yes we need Biden to win so the DC swamp can fill again. Those Democrats are lost without his kick back schemes

abend237-04
abend237-04

Holy crap!!! We've been losing a million a month to guns and I've been wasting time studying a damned coroavirus; Thanks Joe.

lol
lol

Only reason Trump was elected was because Obama was a pathetic failure,only reason we're gonna get Bernie Fidel Sanders or Elizabeth Pocohontas Warren is because Trump is such a pathetic failure....ie in a bankrupt failed state..failure breeds failure!

Sechel
Sechel

Last few days the oppo research on Sanders has started coming out. First his comments on Cuba(which I don't think are so bad) and now his drunken Russian honeymoon. This stuff will not play well in the general. I assume we didn't hear about it till now because the opposition wasn't focused on him and Biden's campaign lacks funds and resources but Trump and his allies surely have this by now. Probably getting an early taste because Bloomberg has the funds and resources to dig it up.

Latkes
Latkes

Bloomberg sounds like Fran Drescher. :)

Cocoa
Cocoa

Warren is waiting for Bernie to implode...or a VEEP tap. She and Bloomie hate each other so that would never be an option so its safe for her to lay him out every chance she gets. Then if Bernie drops ball, she can pick up the left of party. Biden offering his credentials as Obama's Duffer to curry the black vote. Hey Amy!


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